(NEXT) NextDecade Corporation VRIO Analysis Research

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(NEXT) NextDecade Corporation VRIO Analysis Research

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NextDecade VRIO: Competitive Edge, Simplified

Unlock NextDecade Corporation’s real competitive edge with our full VRIO Analysis—an actionable, company-specific review that pinpoints which resources drive value, which are rare or hard to copy, and how well the firm is organized to capture lasting advantage; ideal for investors, analysts, and strategists seeking a concise, ready-to-use strategic tool.

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Rio Grande LNG site and port access

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Value

Rio Grande LNG’s Port of Brownsville site is a clear Value driver in NextDecade Corporation’s VRIO profile: it gives direct Gulf access and supports low-cost LNG exports, with Phase 1 designed for 5 trains and 17.6 million tonnes per annum. The site also leaves room for multi-train expansion, which can scale output without needing a new export terminal.

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Rarity

NextDecade Corporation’s Rio Grande LNG site at the Port of Brownsville is rare because it combines a Gulf Coast port location with major federal approvals for up to 27 million tonnes per year across five trains. Fully permitted U.S. LNG and CCS projects are still scarce, so this permit stack is a real barrier to copy.

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Imitability

Rio Grande LNG site and port access are hard to copy because the Brownsville Ship Channel gives direct Gulf access, while competitors still have to win buyers and ports from scratch. NextDecade Corporation’s first phase is sized at 17.6 MTPA, but the real edge is the timing of permits, land, and offtake relationships already in place.

Organization

NextDecade Corporation ties organization to Rio Grande LNG’s site and port access by pairing its 17.6 mtpa Phase 1 LNG buildout with dedicated carbon capture and storage work at Rio Grande and outside industrial sites. That setup can support a lower-cost logistics chain and help keep CCS planning linked to the export terminal and nearby emitters.

Competitive Advantage

Rio Grande LNG's Brownsville site on the deepwater Port of Brownsville ship channel gives NextDecade direct tanker access to the Gulf, with fewer inland logistics steps and shorter marine routes than many rival U.S. LNG sites. The first 3 trains are designed for about 17.6 million tonnes per annum, and that port access supports a sustained cost and delivery edge as volumes scale.

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Rio Grande LNG’s Rare Brownsville Edge Powers 27 MTPA Growth

Rio Grande LNG’s Port of Brownsville site remains a strong VRIO asset because it gives NextDecade Corporation direct Gulf access and supports Phase 1 capacity of 17.6 million tonnes per annum across the first 3 trains. The deepwater port, land control, and federal approvals for up to 27 MTPA make the site both rare and hard to copy.

Metric Data
Phase 1 17.6 MTPA
Full permit buildout 27 MTPA
Location Port of Brownsville

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Assesses NextDecade’s key resources and capabilities through VRIO to gauge sustainable competitive advantage.

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Quickly shows NextDecade’s key resources, competitive edge, and defensibility without building a VRIO from scratch.

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Reference Sources

Shows which NextDecade resources are valuable, rare, hard to imitate, and organizationally supported to prove sustainable competitive advantages.

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Permits and regulatory authorizations

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Value

NextDecade Corporation’s permits and regulatory approvals around the Port of Brownsville are valuable because they support a phased Rio Grande LNG buildout of 27 mtpa total, including 17.6 mtpa in Trains 1-3. The site’s Gulf Coast location cuts shipping miles to major LNG buyers and backs lower export costs versus many inland U.S. routes.

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Rarity

Fully permitted U.S. LNG and CCS projects are rare because they need separate federal, state, and environmental approvals. NextDecade Corporation’s Rio Grande LNG is a good example: it has FERC approval for about 27 million tonnes per annum across five LNG trains, plus CCS permitting work, which sets a high entry bar.

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Imitability

NextDecade Corporation’s permits and regulatory approvals are hard to copy because they are tied to Rio Grande LNG’s long review path, local ties, and project timing; the first phase is sized at 17.6 mtpa, and rivals cannot quickly match that permit stack and deal sequence. Competitors can chase the same buyers, but they cannot easily recreate the same regulatory cadence and relationships.

Organization

NextDecade’s permits and regulatory authorizations are a clear VRIO asset because the Rio Grande LNG project is built around a 17.6 mtpa platform, and the company has also advanced CCS work at Rio Grande plus linked industrial sites. In 2025, that permit stack is hard to copy: it ties federal, state, and site-level approvals to one integrated low-carbon LNG buildout.

Competitive Advantage

NextDecade Corporation’s permits and regulatory authorizations are a sustained competitive advantage because Rio Grande LNG has already cleared major federal and state hurdles, including long-life LNG export approvals that are hard and slow to replicate. That regulatory moat lowers project risk for the 17.6 mtpa Phase 1 buildout and makes new rivals face years of permitting, legal, and local-review risk.

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NextDecade’s Rare LNG Permit Edge

NextDecade Corporation’s permits at Rio Grande LNG are a rare barrier: FERC has authorized about 27 mtpa across five trains, while Phase 1 is 17.6 mtpa. That approval stack is hard to copy and cuts both timing and execution risk for the project.

Metric Value
FERC-authorized capacity 27 mtpa
Phase 1 capacity 17.6 mtpa

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LNG offtake and marketing relationships

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Value

NextDecade Corporation's Rio Grande LNG site at the Port of Brownsville is designed for 17.6 mtpa in Phase 1, and the large site supports multi-train expansion without a new export port. That scale and Gulf access help lower logistics cost and lift the value of LNG offtake and marketing relationships.

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Rarity

NextDecade Corporation’s LNG offtake and marketing ties are rare because fully permitted U.S. LNG and CCS projects are scarce; Rio Grande LNG has FERC approval for 17.6 mtpa in Phase 1 and a planned CCS build that aims to cut up to 5 million tCO2e a year. That scarcity gives long-term buyers and partners real negotiating power and makes the asset harder to copy.

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Imitability

Competitors can chase LNG buyers, but they cannot quickly copy NextDecade Corporation’s signed timing, volume mix, and counterparty set. Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 is built around 17.6 mtpa of contracted capacity, and long-tenor 15- to 20-year SPAs make those relationships hard to dislodge once shipping slots and portfolio needs are locked in.

Organization

NextDecade’s Organization is built around long-term LNG offtake and marketing tied to Rio Grande LNG, where Phase 1 is backed by 4.5 mtpa of contracted volumes. The same setup also supports CCS at Rio Grande and at external industrial sites, with the company targeting 1.9 mtpa of CO2 capture in the first phase of its CCS plan.

Competitive Advantage

NextDecade Corporation’s LNG offtake ties to long-term 20-year sales deals at Rio Grande LNG, including contracts with TotalEnergies and ENN, which lock in demand and reduce spot-price risk. That contract base helped support project financing and gives NextDecade a durable edge that can last through 2025-2026, not just a one-off lift.

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NextDecade’s long-term LNG contracts anchor durable, hard-to-copy cash flow

NextDecade Corporation’s LNG offtake is anchored by Rio Grande LNG Phase 1, which has 17.6 mtpa of approved capacity and 4.5 mtpa of contracted volumes. Long-term SPAs with TotalEnergies and ENN lower spot exposure and make the marketing network hard to copy.

Metric Value
Phase 1 capacity 17.6 mtpa
Contracted volumes 4.5 mtpa
Key SPA tenor 15 to 20 years
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CCS platform and sequestration capability

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Value

NextDecade Corporation’s Port of Brownsville site has strong Value because Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 is designed for 17.6 million tonnes per year across three trains, and the layout leaves room for five more. Its CCS plan targets up to 5 million tonnes of CO2 a year, which can support lower-carbon exports and a better permitting profile.

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Rarity

As of 2025, fully permitted U.S. LNG export and CCS projects are still rare, so NextDecade Corporation’s CCS platform is a scarce asset. Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 is a 17.6 million tonnes per annum project, and pairing that scale with CO2 storage permits is uncommon in the U.S.

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Imitability

NextDecade Corporation's CCS platform is hard to copy because the real edge is not just the capture tech, but the timing, permits, and counterparty ties already built around Rio Grande LNG. That matters in a market where Phase 1 is planned at 17.6 mtpa and the company is still advancing a CCS path tied to existing site control and buyer talks.

Competitors can chase offtake buyers, but they cannot quickly match the same deal sequence, local approvals, and relationship depth. So the CCS and sequestration setup is moderately to strongly imitable in theory, but weakly imitable in practice.

Organization

NextDecade Corporation’s Organization is strong here because it has dedicated CCS work at Rio Grande and a second path with external industrial facilities. At Rio Grande, the CCS plan is designed to capture and permanently store up to 5.0 million tonnes of CO2 a year, which gives the company a real operating base, not just a concept.

Competitive Advantage

NextDecade Corporation’s CCS platform is a real moat: the Rio Grande LNG CCS plan is designed to capture and store about 5 million tonnes of CO2 a year, a scale few U.S. LNG peers can match. That sequestration capacity can support durable cost and emissions advantages, helping NextDecade defend margins and customer demand over time.

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NextDecade’s CCS Scale Creates a Hard-to-Copy LNG Edge

NextDecade Corporation’s CCS platform is a real VRIO edge because Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 is built around 17.6 million tonnes per year and a CCS plan that can capture and store up to 5.0 million tonnes of CO2 a year. That scale is rare in U.S. LNG, and the permit-plus-site-control mix makes it hard to copy fast.

Item 2025/2026 Data
Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 17.6 mtpa
CCS capacity Up to 5.0 mtCO2/yr
Barrier Permits and site control
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Phased expansion scale and infrastructure optionality

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Value

NextDecade Corporation’s Port of Brownsville site gives it real value: Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 is designed for about 17.6 million tonnes per annum across 3 trains, and the deepwater Gulf Coast location lowers shipping costs for Atlantic and Asia cargoes. The same footprint also keeps multi-train expansion options open, which can spread fixed infrastructure costs over more output.

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Rarity

NextDecade Corporation’s rarity comes from having a fully permitted U.S. LNG buildout at Rio Grande LNG, with Phase 1 cleared for 17.6 mtpa and the wider site planned at 27 mtpa. Its paired CCS plan is also unusual, targeting about 5 million tonnes of CO2 a year, and few U.S. peers have both permits in hand.

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Imitability

Competitors can chase LNG buyers, but they can’t easily copy NextDecade Corporation’s deal timing, 20-year offtake style contracts, and the phased Rio Grande LNG buildout. The first phase is a three-train project, so the site, permits, and buyer network create optionality that is hard to imitate, even if rivals have capital.

Organization

NextDecade’s organization can stage Rio Grande LNG and CCS in steps, with Phase 1 at 17.6 million tonnes per year and a planned CCS system that can sequester up to 5 million tonnes of CO2 a year. That setup gives it scale now and optionality later through separate capture links for Rio Grande and outside industrial sites.

Competitive Advantage

NextDecade Corporation’s phased build at Rio Grande LNG creates a real scale moat: Train 1 and Train 2 FIDs were secured in 2024, and each added long-dated volume under 20-year LNG offtake deals. That staged rollout lowers execution risk, lets the Company add capacity as demand clears, and supports a sustained competitive advantage if later trains reach FID on time.

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NextDecade’s Phased LNG Build Leaves Room for Growth

NextDecade Corporation’s phased Rio Grande LNG build gives it scale without forcing all capacity upfront: Phase 1 covers 17.6 mtpa across 3 trains, while the broader site is planned for 27 mtpa. That staged layout also leaves room to add trains as demand and funding line up.

Metric Value
Phase 1 17.6 mtpa
Planned site 27 mtpa
Phase 1 trains 3
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Project finance and capital markets access

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Value

Port of Brownsville gives NextDecade Corporation direct Gulf access, and Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 is sized at 17.6 mtpa across three trains. That low-cost site supports multi-train expansion, which matters for project finance because scale and export logistics improve lender and capital markets appeal.

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Rarity

Fully permitted U.S. LNG and CCS projects are rare, and NextDecade Corporation’s Rio Grande LNG stands out with 17.6 mtpa of planned LNG capacity and a 5.0 mtpa carbon capture target. That permit stack matters for capital markets access: fewer assets can clear FERC, DOE, and CCS hurdles at once, so lenders and offtakers see a scarcer, more financeable project.

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Imitability

NextDecade Corporation’s project finance access is hard to copy because it rests on timing, lender trust, and long-built buyer links, not just asset size. Its Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 covers 17.6 mtpa across 3 trains, and rivals can chase buyers, but they cannot quickly recreate the same deal window or contract stack.

Organization

NextDecade Corporation’s organization is built to support project finance and capital markets access through dedicated CCS work at Rio Grande and at external industrial sites. Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 is sized at 17.6 mtpa, and the separate CCS track can broaden funding options by linking LNG cash flows with decarbonization-linked capital.

Competitive Advantage

NextDecade Corporation’s project finance and capital markets access is a sustained competitive advantage because Rio Grande LNG is being built through long-dated offtake and large-scale financing that smaller LNG developers cannot match. The platform is designed for multi-train growth to about 27 mtpa, which supports repeated funding access for 2025-2026 capex and lowers execution risk.

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NextDecade’s LNG Scale Gives It a Clear Financing Edge

NextDecade Corporation’s project finance edge comes from Rio Grande LNG Phase 1, which is fully permitted and sized at 17.6 mtpa across 3 trains, with a longer-term buildout plan toward about 27 mtpa. That scale, plus U.S. Gulf access and CCS-linked optionality, improves lender confidence and capital markets access.

For 2025-2026 capex, the scarce mix of permits, offtake depth, and infrastructure makes the project harder to copy and easier to finance than smaller LNG peers.

Metric Value
Phase 1 capacity 17.6 mtpa
Train count 3
Long-term buildout About 27 mtpa
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EPC, procurement, and construction execution

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Value

NextDecade Corporation’s Brownsville site gives EPC, procurement, and construction execution a real edge: Rio Grande LNG is planned for about 27 million tonnes per annum across five trains, and the deepwater port location cuts shipping time and feedgas logistics versus inland rivals. The U.S. exported a record 11.9 billion cubic feet per day of LNG in 2024, so this location directly supports low-cost export scale.

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Rarity

NextDecade Corporation’s EPC, procurement, and construction execution is rare because fully permitted U.S. LNG and CCS builds are still scarce, with Rio Grande LNG advancing as a 5-train, 27 mtpa project plus planned CCS. That permits stack matters: fewer companies can move from federal approvals to construction at this scale, which makes execution capability a real VRIO edge.

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Imitability

Imitability is low because EPC, procurement, and construction execution in NextDecade Corporation’s Rio Grande LNG project rests on years of timing, permits, and buyer ties that rivals cannot copy quickly. Phase 1 is designed for 17.6 mtpa across Trains 1-3, and competitors can chase LNG buyers, but they cannot easily recreate the same deal sequence, contractor slots, and supply-chain lockups.

Organization

NextDecade Corporation has an organized EPC, procurement, and construction setup that supports both Rio Grande LNG carbon capture and storage and CCS work for external industrial sites. This matters because the Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 project was sanctioned in 2025 at 17.6 mtpa, giving the company a built-in execution base for CCS delivery and partner-linked expansion.

Competitive Advantage

NextDecade Corporation’s EPC, procurement, and construction execution is a sustained competitive advantage because Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 was sanctioned at about $18.4 billion, and fixed-price EPC contracting shifts major cost risk to builders. With Train 1 and Train 2 already under construction, disciplined procurement and delivery can protect margins and keep the project on schedule.

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NextDecade Advances Rio Grande LNG Construction

NextDecade Corporation’s EPC, procurement, and construction execution is backed by Rio Grande LNG Phase 1, sanctioned in 2025 at 17.6 mtpa with an estimated $18.4 billion cost. With Train 1 and Train 2 already under construction, the company is showing it can lock in contractors, buy long-lead items, and keep delivery moving.

Metric Value
Phase 1 capacity 17.6 mtpa
Phase 1 capex $18.4 billion
Under construction Train 1 and Train 2
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Strategic partnerships and ecosystem

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Value

NextDecade Corporation’s Port of Brownsville site is valuable because it sits on the Gulf, with direct LNG access and room to scale from the initial 3-train, 17.6 mtpa Rio Grande LNG phase toward a larger 5-train buildout. That location helps keep shipping and logistics costs down, which supports higher margins for long-life export contracts.

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Rarity

Fully permitted U.S. LNG and CCS projects are rare, and NextDecade Corporation’s Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 is one of the few at scale, with 17.6 mtpa across 3 trains and a proposed carbon capture and storage link. That permit stack makes its partner network harder to copy, since most LNG projects still face major FERC, DOE, and environmental hurdles before final buildout.

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Imitability

NextDecade’s moat comes from timing and counterparties: Rio Grande LNG had about 17.6 mtpa of long-term offtake tied up in Phase 1 as of 2025. Rivals can chase the same buyers, but they cannot quickly copy the contract dates, equity links, and permit path that made these deals work.

Organization

NextDecade Corporation’s organization is stronger because it is not tied to one CCS site: it is developing carbon capture at Rio Grande LNG and also at external industrial facilities. That setup widens its ecosystem and can scale beyond the 27 mtpa Rio Grande LNG buildout, which helps spread project risk.

Competitive Advantage

NextDecade Corporation’s ecosystem is anchored by long-term partners like TotalEnergies, which lifted its stake in Rio Grande LNG to 16.67% in 2024 and remains a key offtaker and investor. With 17.6 mtpa of approved liquefaction capacity across Phases 1 and 2, these ties lower financing risk and support a sustained competitive advantage.

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NextDecade’s LNG moat: strong partners, locked-in demand

NextDecade Corporation’s strategic edge comes from its partner stack: TotalEnergies held 16.67% of Rio Grande LNG in 2024 and remains a key offtaker, while Phase 1 carries about 17.6 mtpa of long-term LNG sales linked to 3 trains. Those ties reduce financing risk and make the project ecosystem harder to copy.

Metric Value
Phase 1 capacity 17.6 mtpa
Trains 3
TotalEnergies stake 16.67%
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Houston talent base and operating know-how

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Value

NextDecade Corporation’s Port of Brownsville site is a rare cost edge: the LNG plant sits near a deep-water Gulf export route, cutting shipping time and helping support low-cost exports. The Houston team’s operating know-how has also helped scale Rio Grande LNG toward multi-train buildout, with 5 trains planned.

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Rarity

Houston gives NextDecade Corporation a rare talent pool because fully permitted U.S. LNG and CCS projects are uncommon. NextDecade’s Rio Grande LNG site has secured FERC approval, DOE export authorization, and Texas permits, while the planned CCS work targets about 5 million tonnes of CO2 a year, so the local team’s know-how is hard to copy.

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Imitability

NextDecade Corporation’s Houston team sits on years of LNG deal flow and execution across Rio Grande LNG’s 6-train plan, so rivals can bid for buyers but cannot quickly copy the timing, lender ties, and offtake network built in 2025. That makes the talent base hard to imitate, even if the asset can be studied.

Organization

NextDecade’s Houston-based team centralizes CCS planning for Rio Grande LNG and external industrial sites, which strengthens execution control across capture, transport, and storage. Its first Rio Grande LNG phase is planned at 17.6 million tonnes per year, and that scale makes tight operating know-how and organization a real edge.

Competitive Advantage

NextDecade’s Houston base gives it access to one of the deepest U.S. energy labor pools, with the Greater Houston metro topping 2.4 million workers, while the company’s operating team is built around LNG project execution. That know-how supports Rio Grande LNG Phase 1, designed for 17.6 million tonnes per annum, and helps lock in a sustained competitive advantage.

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Houston’s Talent Edge Powers NextDecade’s LNG and CCS Buildout

Houston gives NextDecade Corporation a hard-to-copy LNG and CCS talent pool, backed by the Greater Houston metro’s 2.4 million workers and the company’s Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 design for 17.6 million tonnes per year. That operating depth matters because the site’s 6-train plan and CCS scope need specialized execution.

Metric Value
Houston labor pool 2.4 million workers
Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 17.6 mtpa
Planned LNG trains 6

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