What does CoreCivic do?
CoreCivic, Inc., listed on the New York Stock Exchange as CXW, provides correctional, detention, residential reentry, and specialized real-estate capacity to public agencies. Its three-part model—CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties—is summarized in the official company overview.
How do the three operating segments differ?
At December 31, 2025, Safety represented about 67,785 beds; Community had capacity of 4,099; and Properties represented 7,754 beds and 1.5 million square feet. These assets are capital-intensive but difficult to replicate quickly. The company’s mission and purpose links secure operations with rehabilitation, education, treatment, and reentry services rather than defining the business as real estate alone.
How does CoreCivic make money, and which segment matters most?
Most contracts pay a per-diem rate for each compensated person, sometimes with fixed payments, minimum guarantees, transportation revenue, or service reimbursements. Terms commonly run one to five years with renewal options, but government customers often retain termination-for-convenience or non-appropriation rights.
What converts beds into revenue?
| Revenue stream | Pricing logic | Main driver | Principal constraint |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safety management | Per diem, fixed components, or minimum guarantees | Population, rate, contract mix, and activation pace | Staffing, policy changes, and termination rights |
| Community services | Residential per diem and supervision-related fees | Referral volumes, utilization, and service intensity | Smaller scale and agency funding decisions |
| Properties leases | Contractual lease payments | Tenant credit, lease term, and asset utilization | Specialized-asset remarketing and renewal risk |
| Ancillary and other | Transportation, monitoring, pharmacy, and reimbursable services | Service breadth and customer adoption | Integration and margin variability |
How concentrated was the FY2025 revenue mix?
Safety’s dominance means small occupancy or pricing changes can outweigh faster Community growth. Federal customers generated 54% of FY2025 revenue, including ICE at 35% and the U.S. Marshals Service at 18%; state agencies supplied 37%. Public policy and appropriations are therefore core business variables.
What does CoreCivic’s latest reporting period show?
The quarter ended March 31, 2026 showed stronger demand, pricing, and earnings. The official Q1 2026 earnings release reported revenue up 25.8% to $614.7 million and net income up 51.0% to $37.9 million. Compensated population grew 11.3%, while revenue per man-day rose 13.5%.
Which lines drove the increase?
| Metric | Q1 2026 | Q1 2025 | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $614.7M | $488.6M | Population added $53.7M; revenue per man-day added $71.2M. |
| GAAP operating income | $70.0M | $48.4M | Calculated from reported operating lines; margin was about 11.4%. |
| Facility operating margin | 24.0% | 23.6% | Pricing and utilization outpaced facility costs. |
| Average compensated population | 57,243 | 51,429 | Four activations drove volume. |
| Operating cash flow | $13.8M | $44.5M | Receivables and working capital absorbed cash. |
| Simple free cash flow | -$9.5M | Not shown | Operating cash flow less $23.3M of capex. |
What did customer and segment data reveal?
Safety revenue rose 27.2% to $577.9 million and facility NOI rose 28.7% to $136.7 million. Community revenue grew 8.0% to $32.1 million, with a 33.3% facility margin. ICE revenue reached $261.3 million versus $133.2 million. The Q1 2026 Form 10-Q shows accounts receivable of $479.8 million and weak quarterly cash conversion despite higher profit.
Which turning points shaped CoreCivic’s current strategy?
CoreCivic’s model reflects changes in legal structure, capital allocation, and service scope, including a shift from REIT-style property emphasis toward broader government solutions.
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1983Founded as Corrections Corporation of America, it helped establish outsourced corrections and accumulated specialized assets and operating experience.
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2013The REIT structure emphasized facility ownership and distributions, but later limited flexibility.
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2016The CoreCivic name and three-segment structure formalized operations, reentry, and government real estate as distinct platforms.
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2021CoreCivic became a taxable C corporation, prioritizing debt reduction and capital flexibility.
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2022A repurchase program began; by March 31, 2026, it had retired 28.1 million shares for $444.2 million.
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2025Demand recovery drove multiple activations, while the Farmville acquisition added operating capacity.
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2026Patrick Swindle became CEO, Clinical Solutions Pharmacy was acquired, and two facilities were sold to DHS for about $1.47 billion while CoreCivic sought to remain operator.
Why is the July 2026 transaction strategically different?
On July 2, 2026, CoreCivic sold California City for $732.6 million and Otay Mesa for $739.2 million. The official sale filing says it expected to continue operating both under ICE agreements, although terms could change and continuation was not assured. Liquidity improves, but proceeds must replace the earnings tied to sold real estate.
What gives CoreCivic a competitive advantage?
CoreCivic’s advantage combines specialized infrastructure, operating credentials, agency relationships, and the ability to mobilize a compliant workforce. Secure design, licensing, healthcare, food service, transportation, training, technology, and reporting create barriers even when contracts are competitively bid.
Where does scale create practical value?
Who competes with CoreCivic?
Direct private competitors identified in the 2025 annual report include The GEO Group, Management and Training Corporation, and local operators. Government-run facilities and electronic monitoring are substitutes. Bids turn on capacity, cost, quality, experience, location, and reputation.
The moat is qualified: barriers are meaningful, but government buyer power is high and contracts can be rebid or terminated. The advantage is strongest when agencies need ready capacity quickly.
Facility activations, occupancy, and per-diem pricing drive the economics
Operating leverage improves when fixed facility and staffing costs are spread across more compensated people. Activation usually takes three to six months, with startup costs preceding mature revenue.
Which operating KPIs explain performance best?
| KPI | Q1 2026 | FY2025 | How to interpret it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total occupancy | 79.6% | 77.2% | Higher utilization improves fixed-cost absorption; new activations can initially dilute margins. |
| Revenue per man-day | $116.53 | $108.86 | Captures pricing, customer mix, and fixed-fee effects. |
| Expense per man-day | $88.55 | $83.18 | Labor and other operating costs must grow more slowly than revenue per man-day. |
| Facility NOI per man-day | $27.98 | $25.68 | Unit-level profit before corporate costs and financing. |
| Facility operating margin | 24.0% | 23.6% | Facility NOI divided by revenue; expansion indicates better rate-cost spread. |
| Average compensated population | 57,243 | 54,266 | The primary volume measure versus capacity. |
How much optional capacity remained?
At March 31, 2026, five idle facilities totaled 7,066 beds and about $149.8 million of carrying value. North Fork was largest at 2,400 beds and roughly $57.0 million. Reactivation can be faster than new construction, but upkeep and impairment risk remain. Excluding idle facilities, FY2025 occupancy was about 86%.
How financially strong is CoreCivic after the July 2026 asset sale?
FY2025 is the audited baseline and March 31, 2026 the latest quarter-end balance sheet. The July sale was subsequent, so its proceeds should not be mixed into Q1 cash or debt. It instead changes the forward capital structure.
What did FY2025 establish as the earnings baseline?
| Financial measure | FY2025 | FY2024 | Research implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2,211.2M | $1,961.6M | Demand recovery increased utilization and pricing mix. |
| GAAP operating income | $220.2M | Not shown | Calculated from reported lines; margin was about 10.0%. |
| Net income | $116.5M | $68.9M | Net margin was about 5.3% after interest and taxes. |
| Diluted EPS | $1.08 | $0.62 | Earnings and repurchases supported per-share growth. |
| Operating cash flow | $194.6M | $269.2M | Cash generation declined despite higher profit. |
| Capital expenditures | $141.8M | Not shown | Included $75.0M for activations; simple free cash flow was about $52.8M. |
How do debt and capital allocation change the picture?
| Balance-sheet or allocation item | Reported amount | Period | Meaning |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | $209.7M | March 31, 2026 | Liquidity before the July facility-sale proceeds. |
| Debt carrying amount | $1,406.5M | March 31, 2026 | Weighted effective interest rate was 7.3%; weighted average maturity was 3.6 years. |
| Revolver availability | $131.3M | March 31, 2026 | Additional liquidity, but revolver borrowings carried a 7.6% rate. |
| Net debt / adjusted EBITDA | 2.8x | Trailing twelve months at March 31, 2026 | Moderate leverage before recognizing the July sale. |
| Q1 share repurchases | $44.7M | Q1 2026 | 2.3M shares repurchased; remaining authorization was $255.8M. |
| 2027 notes redemption | $238.5M | Announced July 13, 2026 | Full redemption scheduled for August 12, 2026, funded with cash on hand. |
The proceeds can reduce debt, fund repurchases, support acquisitions, or reinvest in operations. The first step was redemption of the 4.75% notes due 2027, documented in the July 2026 redemption filing. The long-term result depends on replacing disposed-property earnings without overpaying.
Who owns CoreCivic stock, and how is it governed?
CoreCivic has one common share class and one vote per share. With no dual-class control, governance is shaped by institutional holders, board oversight, and executive incentives.
Which holders had the largest disclosed stakes?
| Holder or group | Shares beneficially owned | Ownership | Source date | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 16,251,693 | 16.4% | 2026 proxy disclosure | Largest disclosed holder; voting policy can influence governance proposals. |
| River Road Asset Management, LLC | 9,047,989 | 9.1% | 2026 proxy disclosure | An active stake can increase capital-allocation scrutiny. |
| Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC | 5,896,605 | 6.0% | 2026 proxy disclosure | A material active holder with voting influence. |
| Current directors and executive officers as a group | 1,740,222 | 1.76% | March 18, 2026 | Management has exposure without voting control. |
What governance signals deserve attention?
The 2026 proxy statement reported six 2025 board meetings, five independent-director executive sessions, and 95% average attendance. It proposed 11 nominees. After the asset sale, oversight of debt reduction, repurchases, acquisitions, and incentives is the central governance issue.
What opportunities and risks could change CoreCivic’s outlook?
Operating leverage benefits from stronger occupancy but reverses when policy, contracts, or staffing weaken. Opportunities center on capacity utilization, adjacent services, and sale-proceeds deployment; risks center on concentration, contract fragility, labor, and specialized assets.
Where could growth come from?
Which risks are most material?
The strategic tension is clear: outsourcing creates demand for ready capacity, while government retains bargaining and policy power. A Five Forces view shows high buyer power, moderate qualified rivalry, high entry barriers, and public-sector or non-custodial substitutes.
Why does CoreCivic matter in a DCF—and what should researchers watch?
A CoreCivic valuation must distinguish owned-facility economics, management fees, lease income, pharmacy services, activation costs, and working capital. July 2026 sale proceeds are non-recurring.
Which variables belong in the valuation model?
| DCF driver | Base evidence | Upside case | Pressure case |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volume | Q1 2026 average compensated population of 57,243 | Activated and idle capacity fills faster | Policy or contract loss reduces populations |
| Price and mix | Q1 2026 revenue per man-day of $116.53 | Renewals offset labor and healthcare inflation | Rate increases lag operating costs |
| Facility margin | 24.0% in Q1 2026 | Higher occupancy improves fixed-cost absorption | Startup and staffing costs dilute NOI |
| Cash conversion | Q1 2026 operating cash flow of $13.8M | Receivables normalize and capex moderates | Government payment timing keeps cash conversion weak |
| Capital structure | 2.8x net debt / adjusted EBITDA at March 31, 2026 | Sale proceeds reduce debt and interest | Aggressive acquisitions recreate leverage |
| Terminal risk | Federal and ICE concentration plus terminable contracts | Diversified services make cash flows less policy-sensitive | A policy reversal lowers occupancy and renewal probabilities |
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